Championship · Matchweek 13
Southampton
SOU
Queens Park Rangers
QUE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Southampton49%
Draw25%
QPR26%
Expected goals
1.69 – 1.20
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.4%
- 1–09.9%
- 2–19.5%
- 2–07.7%
- 0–16.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
57%Possession49%
34%Territory42%
30%From set plays16%
0.10Chance quality0.11
3.8%Directness4.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Southampton, 4 for QPR.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.