Championship · Matchweek 13
Norwich City
NOR
Watford
WAT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Norwich53%
Draw24%
Watford23%
Expected goals
1.82 – 1.17
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.8%
- 2–19.8%
- 1–09.8%
- 2–08.2%
- 1–26.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Watford get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
51%Possession50%
34%Territory35%
4%From set plays35%
0.12Chance quality0.09
6.5%Directness4.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Norwich, 3 for Watford. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.