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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Championship · Matchweek 13

Middlesbrough

MID

Charlton Athletic

CHA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Middlesbrough59%
Draw25%
Charlton16%

Expected goals

1.66 – 0.78

Over 2.5

44%

Both to score

45%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–015.0%
  • 2–011.8%
  • 1–111.2%
  • 0–09.6%
  • 2–19.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Middlesbrough will have the ball; Charlton will not mind.

59%Possession36%
47%Territory27%
16%From set plays44%
0.12Chance quality0.07
4.1%Directness6.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Middlesbrough, 4 for Charlton.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.