Championship · Matchweek 13
Bolton Wanderers
BOL
Bristol City
BRI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Bolton25%
Draw26%
Bristol City50%
Expected goals
1.13 – 1.66
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.6%
- 0–110.7%
- 1–29.6%
- 0–28.2%
- 0–07.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Bristol City get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
51%Possession53%
35%Territory43%
25%From set plays50%
0.09Chance quality0.09
6.7%Directness4.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Bolton, 3 for Bristol City. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.