Championship · Matchweek 12
Wolverhampton Wanderers
WOL
Watford
WAT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Wolves50%
Draw25%
Watford25%
Expected goals
1.71 – 1.16
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.4%
- 1–010.3%
- 2–19.6%
- 2–08.1%
- 0–16.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
55%Possession50%
30%Territory35%
21%From set plays35%
0.17Chance quality0.09
6.4%Directness4.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Wolves, 3 for Watford. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.