Championship · Matchweek 12
West Ham United
WHU
Southampton
SOU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
West Ham47%
Draw23%
Southampton29%
Expected goals
1.92 – 1.50
Over 2.5
65%
Both to score
67%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.7%
- 2–19.1%
- 1–26.9%
- 2–26.8%
- 1–06.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Southampton get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
52%Possession57%
37%Territory34%
15%From set plays30%
0.18Chance quality0.10
4.9%Directness3.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for West Ham, 4 for Southampton. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.