Championship · Matchweek 12
Stoke City
STK
Bristol City
BRI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Stoke37%
Draw28%
Bristol City35%
Expected goals
1.38 – 1.33
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.4%
- 1–09.5%
- 0–19.2%
- 2–18.3%
- 1–28.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Bristol City get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
50%Possession53%
39%Territory43%
9%From set plays50%
0.10Chance quality0.09
5.8%Directness4.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Stoke, 3 for Bristol City. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.