Championship · Matchweek 12
Queens Park Rangers
QUE
Swansea City
SWA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
QPR39%
Draw29%
Swansea32%
Expected goals
1.28 – 1.15
Over 2.5
43%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.1%
- 1–011.6%
- 0–110.2%
- 0–010.1%
- 2–18.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
49%Possession56%
42%Territory37%
16%From set plays21%
0.11Chance quality0.15
4.4%Directness4.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for QPR, 3 for Swansea. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.