Championship · Matchweek 12
Portsmouth
POR
Millwall
MIL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Portsmouth34%
Draw29%
Millwall38%
Expected goals
1.25 – 1.32
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.8%
- 0–110.4%
- 1–09.8%
- 0–08.9%
- 1–28.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
44%Possession38%
40%Territory38%
23%From set plays39%
0.09Chance quality0.13
8.4%Directness9.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Portsmouth, 4 for Millwall. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.