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Championship · Matchweek 12

Charlton Athletic

CHA

Norwich City

NOR

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Charlton31%
Draw29%
Norwich41%

Expected goals

1.14 – 1.34

Over 2.5

44%

Both to score

51%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.9%
  • 0111.6%
  • 109.7%
  • 009.6%
  • 128.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Norwich will have the ball; Charlton will not mind.

36%Possession51%
27%Territory34%
44%From set plays4%
0.07Chance quality0.12
6.5%Directness6.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Charlton, 3 for Norwich. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.