Championship · Matchweek 12
Bolton Wanderers
BOL
Middlesbrough
MID
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Bolton19%
Draw23%
Middlesbrough59%
Expected goals
1.06 – 1.97
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 0–110.2%
- 1–110.1%
- 1–210.0%
- 0–29.3%
- 1–36.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Middlesbrough will have the ball; Bolton will not mind.
51%Possession59%
35%Territory47%
25%From set plays16%
0.09Chance quality0.12
6.7%Directness4.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Bolton, 4 for Middlesbrough. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.