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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Championship · Matchweek 12

Blackburn Rovers

BLA

Wrexham

WRE

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Blackburn43%
Draw29%
Wrexham29%

Expected goals

1.38 – 1.10

Over 2.5

45%

Both to score

51%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.8%
  • 1–011.9%
  • 0–09.6%
  • 0–19.2%
  • 2–18.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Blackburn will have the ball; Wrexham will not mind.

58%Possession50%
42%Territory33%
11%From set plays39%
0.08Chance quality0.08
4.6%Directness5.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Blackburn, 4 for Wrexham. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.