Championship · Matchweek 11
Wrexham
WRE
Preston North End
PRE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Wrexham40%
Draw28%
Preston32%
Expected goals
1.40 – 1.25
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.5%
- 1–010.3%
- 0–19.0%
- 2–18.6%
- 0–08.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Wrexham will have the ball; Preston will not mind.
50%Possession41%
33%Territory38%
39%From set plays45%
0.08Chance quality0.15
5.1%Directness6.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Wrexham, 3 for Preston. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.