Championship · Matchweek 11
West Bromwich Albion
WBA
Blackburn Rovers
BLA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
West Brom44%
Draw31%
Blackburn26%
Expected goals
1.26 – 0.92
Over 2.5
37%
Both to score
44%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–014.5%
- 1–113.1%
- 0–012.6%
- 0–110.2%
- 2–18.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
55%Possession58%
41%Territory42%
19%From set plays11%
0.09Chance quality0.08
3.5%Directness4.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for West Brom, 3 for Blackburn. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.