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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Championship · Matchweek 11

Watford

WAT

Charlton Athletic

CHA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Watford41%
Draw32%
Charlton27%

Expected goals

1.18 – 0.92

Over 2.5

35%

Both to score

43%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–014.6%
  • 0–013.7%
  • 1–113.4%
  • 0–111.1%
  • 2–17.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Watford will have the ball; Charlton will not mind.

50%Possession36%
35%Territory27%
35%From set plays44%
0.09Chance quality0.07
4.5%Directness6.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Watford, 4 for Charlton. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.