Championship · Matchweek 11
Swansea City
SWA
West Ham United
WHU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Swansea37%
Draw27%
West Ham37%
Expected goals
1.44 – 1.44
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.9%
- 0–18.5%
- 1–08.4%
- 1–28.3%
- 2–18.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
56%Possession52%
37%Territory37%
21%From set plays15%
0.15Chance quality0.18
4.3%Directness4.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Swansea, 3 for West Ham. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.