Championship · Matchweek 11
Norwich City
NOR
Portsmouth
POR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Norwich48%
Draw26%
Portsmouth26%
Expected goals
1.66 – 1.17
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.6%
- 1–010.3%
- 2–19.5%
- 2–07.8%
- 0–17.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
51%Possession44%
34%Territory40%
4%From set plays23%
0.12Chance quality0.09
6.5%Directness8.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Norwich, 2 for Portsmouth. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.