Championship · Matchweek 10
Norwich City
NOR
Southampton
SOU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Norwich41%
Draw24%
Southampton35%
Expected goals
1.77 – 1.64
Over 2.5
65%
Both to score
68%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.9%
- 2–18.4%
- 1–27.7%
- 2–27.1%
- 1–06.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Southampton get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
51%Possession57%
34%Territory34%
4%From set plays30%
0.12Chance quality0.10
6.5%Directness3.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Norwich, 4 for Southampton. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.