Championship · Matchweek 10
Wolverhampton Wanderers
WOL
Bolton Wanderers
BOL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Wolves61%
Draw21%
Bolton17%
Expected goals
2.11 – 1.08
Over 2.5
61%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.9%
- 1–19.4%
- 1–09.3%
- 2–09.2%
- 3–17.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
55%Possession51%
30%Territory35%
21%From set plays25%
0.17Chance quality0.09
6.4%Directness6.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Wolves, 3 for Bolton. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.