Championship · Matchweek 10
Millwall
MIL
Swansea City
SWA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Millwall44%
Draw27%
Swansea29%
Expected goals
1.50 – 1.18
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.3%
- 1–010.8%
- 2–19.1%
- 0–18.2%
- 0–07.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Swansea will have the ball; Millwall will not mind.
38%Possession56%
38%Territory37%
39%From set plays21%
0.13Chance quality0.15
9.5%Directness4.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Millwall, 3 for Swansea. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.