Championship · Matchweek 10
Cardiff City
CAR
Watford
WAT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Cardiff42%
Draw27%
Watford31%
Expected goals
1.47 – 1.24
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.3%
- 1–010.2%
- 2–18.9%
- 0–18.4%
- 0–07.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Cardiff will have the ball; Watford will not mind.
65%Possession50%
45%Territory35%
15%From set plays35%
0.10Chance quality0.09
6.1%Directness4.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Cardiff, 3 for Watford. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.