Skip to content
Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Championship · Matchweek 10

Burnley

BUR

Charlton Athletic

CHA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Burnley36%
Draw31%
Charlton33%

Expected goals

1.13 – 1.07

Over 2.5

37%

Both to score

46%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–113.5%
  • 1–012.7%
  • 0–012.6%
  • 0–111.8%
  • 2–17.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Burnley will have the ball; Charlton will not mind.

47%Possession36%
36%Territory27%
16%From set plays44%
0.07Chance quality0.07
6.1%Directness6.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Burnley, 4 for Charlton.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.