Championship · Matchweek 10
Bristol City
BRI
Blackburn Rovers
BLA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Bristol City48%
Draw27%
Blackburn25%
Expected goals
1.52 – 1.06
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.3%
- 1–011.9%
- 2–19.3%
- 0–08.6%
- 2–08.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Bristol City get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
53%Possession58%
43%Territory42%
50%From set plays11%
0.09Chance quality0.08
4.4%Directness4.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Bristol City, 3 for Blackburn. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.