Championship · Matchweek 9
West Ham United
WHU
Queens Park Rangers
QUE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
West Ham51%
Draw25%
QPR24%
Expected goals
1.77 – 1.17
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.0%
- 1–09.9%
- 2–19.7%
- 2–08.1%
- 0–16.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
52%Possession49%
37%Territory42%
15%From set plays16%
0.18Chance quality0.11
4.9%Directness4.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for West Ham, 4 for QPR. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.