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Championship · Matchweek 9

West Bromwich Albion

WBA

Birmingham City

BIR

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

West Brom36%
Draw30%
Birmingham33%

Expected goals

1.19 – 1.13

Over 2.5

40%

Both to score

48%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1113.3%
  • 1011.9%
  • 0011.3%
  • 0111.2%
  • 217.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

West Brom will have the ball; Birmingham will not mind.

55%Possession45%
41%Territory40%
19%From set plays29%
0.09Chance quality0.12
3.5%Directness6.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for West Brom, 4 for Birmingham.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.