Championship · Matchweek 9
Swansea City
SWA
Norwich City
NOR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Swansea43%
Draw26%
Norwich31%
Expected goals
1.58 – 1.33
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.7%
- 1–09.1%
- 2–19.0%
- 0–17.5%
- 1–27.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Swansea get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
56%Possession51%
37%Territory34%
21%From set plays4%
0.15Chance quality0.12
4.3%Directness6.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Swansea, 3 for Norwich. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.