Championship · Matchweek 9
Sheffield United
SHU
Lincoln City
LIN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sheff Utd42%
Draw28%
Lincoln29%
Expected goals
1.39 – 1.13
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.8%
- 1–011.5%
- 0–09.2%
- 0–19.2%
- 2–18.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
40%Possession40%
38%Territory30%
26%From set plays22%
0.09Chance quality0.08
6.8%Directness7.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sheff Utd, 3 for Lincoln. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.