Championship · Matchweek 9
Preston North End
PRE
Millwall
MIL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Preston35%
Draw27%
Millwall39%
Expected goals
1.39 – 1.47
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.9%
- 0–18.8%
- 1–28.5%
- 1–08.2%
- 2–18.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
41%Possession38%
38%Territory38%
45%From set plays39%
0.15Chance quality0.13
6.4%Directness9.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Preston, 4 for Millwall. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.