Championship · Matchweek 9
Middlesbrough
MID
Wolverhampton Wanderers
WOL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Middlesbrough55%
Draw23%
Wolves22%
Expected goals
1.95 – 1.21
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.2%
- 2–19.8%
- 1–08.9%
- 2–08.0%
- 3–16.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
59%Possession55%
47%Territory30%
16%From set plays21%
0.12Chance quality0.17
4.1%Directness6.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Middlesbrough, 2 for Wolves. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Middlesbrough
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.