Championship · Matchweek 9
Charlton Athletic
CHA
Bristol City
BRI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Charlton29%
Draw31%
Bristol City39%
Expected goals
0.99 – 1.18
Over 2.5
37%
Both to score
45%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 0–113.6%
- 1–113.4%
- 0–012.8%
- 1–011.2%
- 1–27.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Bristol City will have the ball; Charlton will not mind.
36%Possession53%
27%Territory43%
44%From set plays50%
0.07Chance quality0.09
6.5%Directness4.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Charlton, 3 for Bristol City. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Charlton
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.