Championship · Matchweek 9
Bolton Wanderers
BOL
Stoke City
STK
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Bolton29%
Draw26%
Stoke45%
Expected goals
1.24 – 1.58
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.8%
- 0–19.9%
- 1–29.2%
- 1–07.5%
- 0–27.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Bolton get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
51%Possession50%
35%Territory39%
25%From set plays9%
0.09Chance quality0.10
6.7%Directness5.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Bolton, 3 for Stoke. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.