Championship · Matchweek 9
Blackburn Rovers
BLA
Cardiff City
CAR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Blackburn46%
Draw27%
Cardiff28%
Expected goals
1.55 – 1.17
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.1%
- 1–010.7%
- 2–19.3%
- 0–17.8%
- 0–07.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
58%Possession65%
42%Territory45%
11%From set plays15%
0.08Chance quality0.10
4.6%Directness6.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Blackburn, 4 for Cardiff. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.