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Championship · Matchweek 8

Stoke City

STK

Sheffield United

SHU

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Stoke48%
Draw26%
Sheff Utd27%

Expected goals

1.66 – 1.22

Over 2.5

54%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.5%
  • 109.8%
  • 219.4%
  • 207.5%
  • 017.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Stoke will have the ball; Sheff Utd will not mind.

50%Possession40%
39%Territory38%
9%From set plays26%
0.10Chance quality0.09
5.8%Directness6.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Stoke, 3 for Sheff Utd. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.