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Championship · Matchweek 8

Queens Park Rangers

QUE

Preston North End

PRE

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

QPR45%
Draw27%
Preston28%

Expected goals

1.50 – 1.14

Over 2.5

48%

Both to score

54%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.3%
  • 1011.2%
  • 219.2%
  • 008.2%
  • 018.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Preston get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

49%Possession41%
42%Territory38%
16%From set plays45%
0.11Chance quality0.15
4.4%Directness6.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for QPR, 3 for Preston. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.