Championship · Matchweek 8
Portsmouth
POR
Blackburn Rovers
BLA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Portsmouth40%
Draw30%
Blackburn30%
Expected goals
1.28 – 1.08
Over 2.5
42%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.1%
- 1–012.4%
- 0–010.7%
- 0–110.2%
- 2–18.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
44%Possession58%
40%Territory42%
23%From set plays11%
0.09Chance quality0.08
8.4%Directness4.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Portsmouth, 3 for Blackburn. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.