Championship · Matchweek 8
Norwich City
NOR
Bolton Wanderers
BOL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Norwich64%
Draw20%
Bolton16%
Expected goals
2.25 – 1.09
Over 2.5
64%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.8%
- 2–09.1%
- 1–18.7%
- 1–08.6%
- 3–17.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Bolton get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
51%Possession51%
34%Territory35%
4%From set plays25%
0.12Chance quality0.09
6.5%Directness6.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Norwich, 3 for Bolton. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.