Championship · Matchweek 8
Lincoln City
LIN
Swansea City
SWA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Lincoln31%
Draw31%
Swansea38%
Expected goals
1.07 – 1.21
Over 2.5
40%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.3%
- 0–112.5%
- 0–011.6%
- 1–011.0%
- 1–28.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Swansea will have the ball; Lincoln will not mind.
40%Possession56%
30%Territory37%
22%From set plays21%
0.08Chance quality0.15
7.5%Directness4.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Lincoln, 3 for Swansea. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.