Championship · Matchweek 8
Cardiff City
CAR
Charlton Athletic
CHA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Cardiff42%
Draw30%
Charlton28%
Expected goals
1.29 – 1.02
Over 2.5
40%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.1%
- 1–013.1%
- 0–011.3%
- 0–110.1%
- 2–18.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Cardiff will have the ball; Charlton will not mind.
65%Possession36%
45%Territory27%
15%From set plays44%
0.10Chance quality0.07
6.1%Directness6.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Cardiff, 4 for Charlton.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Charlton
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.