Championship · Matchweek 8
Bristol City
BRI
Watford
WAT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Bristol City51%
Draw26%
Watford23%
Expected goals
1.60 – 1.02
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.2%
- 1–111.9%
- 2–19.6%
- 2–09.0%
- 0–08.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Bristol City get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
53%Possession50%
43%Territory35%
50%From set plays35%
0.09Chance quality0.09
4.4%Directness4.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Bristol City, 3 for Watford. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.