Championship · Matchweek 8
Birmingham City
BIR
Middlesbrough
MID
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Birmingham37%
Draw27%
Middlesbrough36%
Expected goals
1.46 – 1.42
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.9%
- 1–08.6%
- 2–18.4%
- 0–18.4%
- 1–28.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Middlesbrough will have the ball; Birmingham will not mind.
45%Possession59%
40%Territory47%
29%From set plays16%
0.12Chance quality0.12
6.3%Directness4.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Birmingham, 4 for Middlesbrough.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.