Championship · Matchweek 6
Wolverhampton Wanderers
WOL
Portsmouth
POR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Wolves46%
Draw27%
Portsmouth27%
Expected goals
1.56 – 1.17
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.0%
- 1–010.7%
- 2–19.3%
- 0–17.7%
- 2–07.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
55%Possession44%
30%Territory40%
21%From set plays23%
0.17Chance quality0.09
6.4%Directness8.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Wolves, 2 for Portsmouth. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 39 of 83 matches, not the full season.