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Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 24

Westerlo

WES

Anderlecht

AND

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Westerlo32%
Draw25%
Anderlecht43%

Expected goals

1.42 – 1.66

Over 2.5

58%

Both to score

62%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.1%
  • 1–28.9%
  • 0–18.1%
  • 2–17.5%
  • 1–06.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

48%Possession60%
46%Territory47%
18%From set plays25%
0.11Chance quality0.10
3.4%Directness4.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Westerlo, 2 for Anderlecht. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 89 matches, not the full season.