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Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 24

St.Truiden

STT

Royal Antwerp

ROY

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

St.Truiden45%
Draw24%
Royal Antwerp31%

Expected goals

1.84 – 1.54

Over 2.5

64%

Both to score

67%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.0%
  • 2–18.9%
  • 1–27.2%
  • 2–26.9%
  • 1–06.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

56%Possession51%
41%Territory37%
47%From set plays33%
0.19Chance quality0.18
3.2%Directness6.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for St.Truiden, 2 for Royal Antwerp. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 89 matches, not the full season.