Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 24
Union St.Gilloise
UNI
Standard Liège
STA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Union St.Gilloise60%
Draw23%
Standard Liège17%
Expected goals
1.92 – 0.95
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–011.5%
- 2–010.4%
- 1–110.3%
- 2–110.0%
- 3–16.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
57%Possession46%
41%Territory35%
16%From set plays47%
0.09Chance quality0.11
5.6%Directness7.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Union St.Gilloise, 2 for Standard Liège. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Union St.Gilloise
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 89 matches, not the full season.