Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 24
OH Leuven
OHL
Genk
GEK
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
OH Leuven32%
Draw25%
Genk43%
Expected goals
1.42 – 1.65
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.1%
- 1–28.9%
- 0–18.2%
- 2–17.5%
- 1–06.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
40%Possession64%
31%Territory49%
30%From set plays50%
0.12Chance quality0.11
5.9%Directness5.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for OH Leuven, 2 for Genk. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 89 matches, not the full season.