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Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 24

KV Mechelen

KVM

Kortrijk

KOR

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

KV Mechelen32%
Draw31%
Kortrijk37%

Expected goals

1.09 – 1.17

Over 2.5

39%

Both to score

47%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–113.4%
  • 0–112.4%
  • 0–011.9%
  • 1–011.4%
  • 1–27.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

41%Possession40%
39%Territory40%
9%From set plays5%
0.04Chance quality0.12
7.2%Directness9.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for KV Mechelen, 1 for Kortrijk. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

KV Mechelen

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 89 matches, not the full season.