Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 24
Gent
GEN
Sporting Charleroi
SPO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Gent40%
Draw28%
Sporting Charleroi32%
Expected goals
1.38 – 1.21
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.7%
- 1–010.7%
- 0–19.2%
- 0–08.7%
- 2–18.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
39%Possession58%
28%Territory33%
8%From set plays9%
0.16Chance quality0.12
6.2%Directness6.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Gent, 2 for Sporting Charleroi. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 89 matches, not the full season.