Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 23
Westerlo
WES
KV Mechelen
KVM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Westerlo48%
Draw26%
KV Mechelen26%
Expected goals
1.62 – 1.15
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.8%
- 1–010.7%
- 2–19.4%
- 2–07.9%
- 0–17.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
48%Possession41%
46%Territory39%
18%From set plays9%
0.11Chance quality0.04
3.4%Directness7.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Westerlo, 1 for KV Mechelen. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
KV Mechelen
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 89 matches, not the full season.