Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 23
Standard Liège
STA
Gent
GEN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Standard Liège30%
Draw27%
Gent43%
Expected goals
1.25 – 1.50
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.1%
- 0–110.0%
- 1–29.0%
- 1–08.1%
- 0–07.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
46%Possession39%
35%Territory28%
47%From set plays8%
0.11Chance quality0.16
7.6%Directness6.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Standard Liège, 2 for Gent. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 89 matches, not the full season.