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Belgian Pro League · Matchweek 23

RAAL La Louvière

RAA

St.Truiden

STT

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

RAAL La Louvière37%
Draw25%
St.Truiden38%

Expected goals

1.62 – 1.65

Over 2.5

62%

Both to score

66%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.5%
  • 1–28.3%
  • 2–18.1%
  • 2–26.9%
  • 0–16.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

44%Possession56%
30%Territory41%
37%From set plays47%
0.12Chance quality0.19
4.6%Directness3.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for RAAL La Louvière, 2 for St.Truiden. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 89 matches, not the full season.